Happy Friday everyone, Chris Wenger is back for the weekend. We also got her a week’s work done, but that means he’s one thing. It’s soccer time. It’s great to have a few weeks under our belt when it comes to betting on pigskins.
Before we get into the weekend’s football picks (including Tom Fornelli’s college football picks), there are big value baseball stakes. Let’s dive into the pick!
Always Eastern, all odds via Caesars Sportsbook
🔥 Hot Ticket
Yankees v Brewers, 8:10 PM | TV: MLB Network
Latest odds:
Milwaukee Brewers +100
- main trends: The Brewers are 5-1 in their last six games at home.
- Recommended: Brewers (+100)
The Yankees have been inconsistently defined in the second half of the season. Sometimes you get a group that struggles violently, Current A four-game winning streak version that includes a two-game sweep for the Red Sox. Still, I am choosing to undermine the Yankees in this close matchup with the Brewers.
Brewers starter Adrian Hauser returned late last month after suffering a forearm injury that had sidelined him since late June. Hauser hit five ERAs in his first start on August 24 against the Dodgers, but he’s been great since. The veteran right-hander has gone 2-0 with a 0.67 ERA in his last three games (Hauser pitched two innings in relief in his Aug. 31 game against the Pirates). In his last two starts, Hauser has allowed only two earned runs while he has three hits in 11 innings.
Yankees right-hander Frankie Montas, meanwhile, has had ups and downs since being traded to New York at the trade deadline. Additionally, Montas has posted a 5.20 ERA this season, as he has set a 3-4 record on the road.
I expect Hauser to continue pitching well and Montas to continue to struggle on the road. Get value with underdog Brewers.
💰 Best NFL Picks
USATSI
Texans at the Broncos, Sunday, 4:25 PM | TV: CBS
Latest odds:
Denver Broncos -10
Pick: Broncos -10.0 (-110) — You might call me crazy riding the Broncos after their crushing loss to the Seahawks on Monday night.
Don’t get me wrong, the Broncos should have gotten away with that game in Week 1. Wilson was still hitting Jerry his Judy for a 67-yard touchdown as he threw for 340 yards. Another good thing was the fact that Denver took Javonte Williams into the passing game at an absurd rate and recorded a staggering 11 receptions to earn a star. Williams expects to be more involved in ground games against the Texans.
Speaking of which, I don’t think many handicappers expected the Texans to give the Colts a tough try. In the end, Houston struggled to run his game as he averaged only 2.8 yards per carry. Dameon said Pierce was a preseason darling, but he could only record 33 rushing yards on 11 cavities. To make matters worse, the Broncos held the Seahawks to just 76 yards on the ground. This was his 7th lowest total in Week 1. If the rushing offense doesn’t work, the Broncos will beat quarterback Davis He Mills boldly. I believe it will lead to some turnovers and the Broncos will cover the double digits.
Key trends: The Texans are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games following their ATS victory.
No. 22 Auburn, Pennsylvania, Saturday, 3:30 PM | Television: CBS
Latest odds:
Auburn Tigers +2.5
The Pick: Auburn +3.0 (-110) — In Week 1, Utah traveled to Gainesville to face Florida as their road favorite. I chose Florida as this week’s Six Pack upset for a simple reason. If a non-conference game can get Florida as a home underdog, then perhaps he should bet on an SEC team. History suggests that the conference did pretty well in the non-conference game. Not surprisingly, Florida beat Utah and two weeks later Penn State moved to Auburn as his 3-point favorite.
To be clear, I don’t think Penn State is as good as Utah, and I don’t think Auburn is as good as Florida. That doesn’t mean the Penn State team, which looked shaky in their road game against Purdue in Week 0, would happily trust Jordan-Hare to have an easy time. , I don’t think we’ll be able to pull away from the other teams by much, so please tell Auburn and the points.
main trends: Penn State are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against SEC
Iowa, NV, Saturday, 7:30 PM | TV: BTN
Latest odds:
less than 39.5
Pick: Under 39 (-110) — Should I blindly bet on Iowa’s underside until proven otherwise? I already mentioned how bad Iowa was, but to drive home points with flashy numbers, the Hawkeye offense was 130th in completion percentage (out of 131), 131st in points per possession and EPA per play. 131st on Vibes, he ranks 1,000,000. That said, I think they’ll play better this week, but that’s because Nevada isn’t defensively stubborn. Playing against Iowa might fix his numbers for the Nevada defensive.
Anyway, the reason I like this bottom is not only because Iowa’s offense is terrible.Nevada’s offense is also terrible, and Iowa’s defense is still pretty good. All those fancy stats I mentioned on the Iowa offense? Nevada doesn’t rank very well in any of them, and all the good parts come from last week’s 41 points (55 by the way) against Incarnate Ward.
main trends: The Hawkeyes are 6-0 under in their last six non-conference games.
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